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The US and Cuba |
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The evolutionary pace of US-Cuban relations since 1962 has been maddeningly slow for many people and appropriately cautious for many others. This opinion split makes most efforts to expand US-Cuban interaction—at any level—complicated and vulnerable to suspicion from one side or the other. Finding approaches to US-Cuban engagement that benefit both countries might be one way to tackle the policy problem. A group of policymakers, scholars, and analysts representing a range of views and experiences with US-Cuban policy set that as a goal. They gathered last October as part of the Stanley Foundation's Emerging From Conflict program. Participants first examined US interests in Cuba. They reached broad consensus that a Cuban "implosion"—or complete social and/or economic collapse—would create serious problems for the US and threaten US interests in the region. But the group split sharply on whether the US embargo of Cuba increases or decreases the risk for "implosion." Some participants criticized the process of finding small steps to encourage US-Cuban engagement. They pointed to serious domestic political realities in both countries which make meaningful change nearly impossible. Regardless, the conference did identify the following steps as worthy of further exploration. The Cuban government could:
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